Here’s a rundown of the process that begins Monday and what can happen.
The name electors may bring up images of chosen people, picked out of the population for their sage wisdom. Really, they’re just people chosen by state political parties. Some electors are picked at congressional-district and state conventions, while in other states it is the party leaders who pick the electors.
United States District Court for the District of Columbia reversed. The Supreme Court reversed this decision, striking down those provisions of BCRA that prohibited corporations (including nonprofit corporations) and unions from making independent expenditures and "electioneering communications".
The case did not involve the federal ban on direct contributions from corporations or unions to candidate campaigns or political parties, which remain illegal in races for federal office. § 441b – prohibited corporations and unions from using their general treasury to fund "electioneering communications" (broadcast advertisements mentioning a candidate) within 30 days before a primary or 60 days before a general election.
So the last-minute polls were accurate in predicting Clinton’s vote but were off by 4 percent in the case of the Trump vote. The failure of the last-minute polls in Britain to accurately call the general election of 2015 and again in the Brexit referendum in June 2016, provides some insights for the U. Four possible explanations outlined in their preliminary report, published in January 2016, of what went wrong in Britain may be relevant to the U. presidential election: a late swing, sampling problems, herding behavior and mis- or “over-reporting”.
Daily delivered to your inbox Late swing refers to the possibility that some voters opted for Trump rather than Clinton at the last minute, but that this was not captured in polls that took place in the field before it happened.
Everyone agrees, however, that it is very, very unlikely that anything out of the ordinary will happen Monday.
But, hey, we’ve said that a lot this year only to have to admit that all predictions were wrong, so might as well be prepared for the unexpected.